大气与环境光学学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (1): 18-33.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-6141.2025.01.002

• 大气光学 • 上一篇    下一篇

安徽区域ERA5再分析资料与探空资料的对比分析

邓学良 1*, 祝颂 1, 何冬燕 2, 沈薇薇 1, 陆大春 3, 戴睿 1, 金晓龙 1, 徐倩倩 1   

  1. 1 合肥市气象局, 安徽 合肥 230041; 2 安徽省气候中心, 安徽 合肥 230031; 3 安徽省大气探测技术保障中心, 安徽 合肥 230031
  • 收稿日期:2022-10-08 修回日期:2022-11-29 出版日期:2025-01-28 发布日期:2025-02-10
  • 通讯作者: E-mail: dengxueliang9989@aliyun.com E-mail:dengxueliang9989@aliyun.com
  • 作者简介:邓学良 (1981- ), 安徽蚌埠人, 博士, 正高级工程师, 主要从事环境气象方面的研究。E-mail: dengxueliang9989@aliyun.com
  • 基金资助:
    安徽省公益性研究联动计划项目 (1604f0804003), 安徽省重点研究和开发计划 (1804a0802215), 中国自然科学基金委员会气象联合基 金 (U2142203)

Comparison of vertical profiles between ERA5 reanalysis data and balloon radiosondes data in Anhui, China

DENG Xueliang 1*, ZHU Song 1, HE Dongyan 2, SHEN Weiwei 1, LU Dachun 3, DAI Rui 1, JIN Xiaolong 1, XU Qianqian 1   

  1. 1 Hefei Meteorological Bureau, Hefei 230041, China; 2 Anhui Climate Center, Hefei 230031, China; 3 Meteorological Observation Technology Support Centre of Anhui, Hefei 230031, China
  • Received:2022-10-08 Revised:2022-11-29 Online:2025-01-28 Published:2025-02-10

摘要: 利用2018―2021 年安徽省L 波段气球探空资料, 通过多要素融合匹配方法, 对欧洲中期天气预报中心 (ECMWF) 第5 代产品ERA5 再分析资料的气温、相对湿度、风场等要素进行了系统评估, 探讨了ERA5 垂直要素在安 徽区域的适用性。结果表明: ERA5 与气球探空的各要素表现出较好的一致性, 相关性从高到低依次为气温、风、相对 湿度; 各要素在垂直方向的对比效果有明显差异, 气温和相对湿度在低层优于高层, 而风场则相反。ERA5 的气温与 探空资料相关性最高, 整体相关系数大于0.99, 整层存在负偏差, 相对偏差集中在30%以内; 随着高度抬升, ERA5 气 温负偏差增大, 低相对偏差所占比例降低。ERA5 风场与探空资料的风场也表现出较好的相关性, u、v 分量相关系数 均大于0.95, 偏差为 −5~5 m/s, 相对偏差多集中在50%以内; 风场的相关系数和低相对偏差比例随高度的增加明显 增大, 其中纬向风的改善最为明显。ERA5 相对湿度与探空资料的相对湿度具有一定的相关性, 但受同化资料和模式 的共同影响, 两套数据的相关系数低、偏差分布范围广、相对偏差集中度低, 对比效果最差; 且相对偏差随高度增加, 导致高层低相对偏差所占比例降低。此外, 研究表明降水对于相对湿度和风场影响较为明显, 对于气温的影响较弱。

关键词: 气球探空, ERA5 再分析资料, 对比分析

Abstract: Based on the L-band balloon radiosondes data in Anhui Province, the main factors such as temperature, relative humidity and wind field of ERA5 reanalysis data, the 5th generation product of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), from 2018 to 2021 are systematically evaluated using multi-element fusion matching method, and then the applicability of ERA5 vertical elements in Anhui, China, is explored. The results show that the elements of ERA5 is consistent with those of balloon radiosondes very well, and the correlation ranging from high to low is temperature, wind and relative humidity. In the vertical direction, it seems that the contrast of each element is significantly different, with the temperature and relative humidity in the low layers being better than those in the high layers, while the wind field being the opposite. The temperature of ERA5 has the highest correlation with that of balloon radiosondes, with the overall correlation coefficient greater than 0.99. Meanwhile, there is a negative bias in temperature for the whole layer, with the absolute relative error concentrated within 30%. With the rising of the height, the negative temperature bias of ERA5 increases and the proportion of low absolute relative error decreases. The wind field of ERA5 also shows good correlation with that of balloon radiosondes, with the correlation coefficients of u and v components both greater than 0.95, the bias of −5– 5 m/s, and the absolute relative error mostly within 50%. Similar to that of temperature, the correlation coefficient and the proportion of low absolute relative error of wind field increase obviously with the height, especially for the improvement of zonal wind. The relative humidity of ERA5 has a poor correlation with that of balloon radiosondes. Due to the joint influence of assimilated data and models, the correlation coefficient of relative humidity between ERA5 and radiosondes is low, the bias distribution range is wide and the concentration of absolute relative error is low, indicating the worst comparison effect. As for vertical direction, the humidity bias increases with the height, leading to the decrease of the proportion of low absolute relative error in high layers. In addition, it is shown that precipitation has a more obvious influence on relative humidity and wind field, but a weaker influence on temperature.

Key words: balloon radiosondes, ERA5 reanalysis data, comparative analysis

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